Satyam accounting fraud won’t be the last…
We deliberately resisted making predictions for the New Year, because they can be a bit trite and meaningless. However, the Satyam fraud highlights one area we’re comfortable to predict - more accounting fraud will come to light this year.
The scale of the Satyam fraud is astounding: according to MarketWatch:
Chairman B. Ramalinga Raju said the balance sheet as of Sept. 30 had inflated non-existing cash and bank balances of 50.40 billion rupees ($1.04 billion), understated a liability of 12.3 billion rupees, and overstated debtors’ position of 4.9 billion rupees.
The overstating of cash amounts to a stunning 94% of stated cash reserves!
I’ve been hearing from insolvency experts over recent weeks that they expect to see considerably more fraud coming to light - not necessarily of the scale of this or the Madoff case, but still significant. In these tough times, the desire to overstate your position to save your company or job, or the wish to ‘get one back’ against an employer you think is about to make you redundant is a strong driver. Companies also need to be vigilant for individuals whose personal circumstances may be dire after taking out too much credit or too large a mortgage in ‘the good times’.
There are increasingly powerful tools available to help companies - and their auditors - to detect the traces of fraud - unusual activities, anomolous transactions or changes in behaviours. Within the Unit 4 Agresso group, we have a range of such tools. AccountAnalyser is an example, which runs reports against financial transactional data and highlights anomolous transactions or activities. Not enough companies are using such technology yet, despite the increasing signs that they should, but they are starting to get adopted. These tools are widely used by (ironically enough) PWC in Netherlands (PWC in India was the auditor of Satyam, and may well face serious consequences as a result) and we expect further interest in the current climate.
Ultimately it’s always going to be harder to detect fraud when senior executives set out to falsely represent company finances. However, you can’t help feeling that a smart auditor equipped with a tool like ours would have spotted some significantly inexplicable behaviour.
